The Weekly Roundup - March 20, 2023

The Alberta Legislature and House of Commons are both in Session this week, with MLAs in Alberta counting down the days until they can get back to their ridings in advance of the spring election, and MPs in Ottawa playing host to U.S. President Joe Biden on Friday, when he will give a speech to Parliamentarians. 

Below, you’ll find the top federal and provincial stories of the week, key announcements made and legislation introduced since our last edition.

​​Top Federal Stories of the Week

  1. MPs are expected to vote this week on a Conservative-sponsored motion regarding reports of Chinese interference in Canada’s elections, calling on Trudeau’s chief of staff Katie Telford, along with dozens of other individuals including the Deputy Prime Minister and Clerk of the Privy Council to testify at one or the other of two House of Commons committees. The debate on these motions, ongoing filibustering at committee and the return of Question Period with the House sitting will create many avenues for the Conservative opposition to keep the issue alive. The appointment of David Johnston as special rapporteur last week has done nothing to quell the opposition with CPC Leader Poilievre stating Johnston is a family friend, old neighbour from the cottage and member of the Beijing-funded Trudeau foundation.

  2. In advance of the federal budget being tabled next week, the Consumer Price Index for February will be released on Tuesday by Statistics Canada and will give a sense of whether inflationary pressures in Canada are easing. Affordability is top of mind for many Canadians and is touted as a strong focus of both the governing Liberal and opposition Conservatives.

  3. U.S. President Joe Biden will be in Ottawa on Thursday and Friday this week, the first visit by a sitting president to the capital since 2016. The Trudeau government is likely hoping the visit will change the channel on the ongoing Chinese interference file. At the same time, there are many tough issues to work through, including national security and showing unity against both Russia and China with Putin and Xi meeting in Moscow today as a show of Chinese support for the ongoing war in Ukraine. Canada may also be asked to lead a mission to Haiti and immigration concerns for irregular migrants may be addressed amid the pomp and circumstance of the official visit. 

Top Alberta Stories of the Week

  1. A pivotal federalism case will be heard at the Supreme Court of Canada on Tuesday and Wednesday this week after being referred by the Alberta government. The case hinges on the authority of Ottawa to regulate industrial projects through environmental impact legislation. The legislation, previously known as Bill C-69 (or if you were to ask former Premier Jason Kenney, the “No More Pipelines Act"), was struck down by the Alberta Court of Appeal in 2022. Complicating matters is the Supreme Court of Canada hearing the matter without a full complement of judges, given the leave of Justice Russell Brown who was expected to rule against the legislation.

  2. As the UCP and NDP continue developing their platforms for the spring election, they are sure to be keeping a close eye on the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price of oil. The provincial budget tabled late last month projected ​​the WTI price to average US $79/bbl in 2023-24 and drop to US $73.50/bbl by 2025-26. When markets closed on Friday, WTI sat at US $66.74/bbl. We’ve been down this road before in Alberta. When you consider that a quarter of Alberta’s revenue in 2023 is set to come from oil revenues, and each one dollar change in the price of oil results in a swing of about $230 million to the Alberta government's bottom line, accurately mapping out key platform commitments becomes difficult.

Government Legislation Recap

One additional government bill is on the Order Paper and could be introduced.

Bill 8: Alberta Firearms Act
Stage: Second Reading passed March 9, 2023
Notes: Alberta Justice Minister Tyler Shandro introduced this legislation to clarify provincial jurisdiction regarding firearms in light of the Trudeau government’s Bill C-21 that has the potential to collect restricted firearms. Bill 8 would enable the provincial government to create regulations in response to federal firearm legislation including the ability to license seizure agents and formally defines the role of Alberta’s Chief Firearms Officer in law.

Bill 9: Red Tape Reduction Statutes Amendment Act, 2023
Stage: First Reading passed March 8, 2023
Notes: Continuing with other red tape reduction legislation the UCP government has introduced, this iteration of omnibus legislation would make changes across a variety of ministries to reduce red tape, including amending trespass legislation to clarify the right of landowners to control access to their property and amending the Workers’ Compensation Act to expand presumptive cancer coverage to all firefighters who served during the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire. A full overview of the changes can be found here.

Bill 10: Financial Statutes Amendment Act, 2023
Stage: First Reading passed March 9, 2023
Notes: This legislation would implement many of the technical measures introduced in Budget 2023, including legislating a ​​new fiscal framework to mandate balanced budgets, making changes to Alberta’s charitable tax credit rate to come into effect for 2023, implementing a two per cent cap on tuition increases and creating a new agri-processing tax credit program.

Bill 11: Appropriation Act, 2023
Stage: First Reading passed March 16, 2023
Notes: Bill 11 requests a total of $57.4 billion from the general revenue fund, consistent with Budget 2023.

Key Government Announcements

Upcoming Events Calendar

March 23-24, 2023: U.S. President Joe Biden makes his first official visit to Canada.

March 22-24, 2023: Canada Strong and Free Conference held in Ottawa where conservatives including Federal CPC Leader Pierre Poilievre, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and former Prime Minister Stephen Harper will speak.

March 28, 2023: Federal Budget 2023 will be tabled in the House of Commons. 

May 29, 2023: The next Alberta Provincial General Election is scheduled to be held

The provincial pre-election period acts as a rare, opportune moment for organizations to be heard. As the UCP and NDP look to the May 29th election, both sides of the aisle are listening — and listening hard. It will be instrumental for companies across the province to engage with and catalyze the support of champions from both parties, with the help of a strong and strategic government relations plan.

Because of this advantageous time in Alberta politics, New West is launching Lighthouse: a unique pre-election offering that makes government relations accessible and affordable. Lighthouse is a subsidized version of our full suite of government relations & public affairs services, tailored to the provincial election.

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Ontario Budget Analysis 2023

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The Weekly Roundup - March 14, 2023