Liberals Maintain Edge as Countdown to Election Day Begins

While Conservatives have made the race a bit tighter, their gains may be a tale of too little, too late.

Debate punches thrown, but no knockout yet. With the final debates wrapped and just days to go, the Liberals still lead—but the Conservatives aren’t done fighting. From hockey analogies to high-stakes exchanges, this edition breaks down where the race stands, who’s surging, and what it’ll take to win.

This week’s leaders’ debates could be the Conservatives’ last shot to shake up a steady race. With two weeks to go and a Liberal majority still in play, all eyes are on Poilievre to land a game-changing blow.

While the federal election campaign is in full swing, legislating remains a key focus for the provincial governments in Ontario and Alberta. We review some of the major policy announcements from this week and more in our Weekly Roundup.

Midway through the campaign, the Liberals are solidifying their lead while the Conservatives stall. Poilievre’s rallies are drawing crowds, but Trump continues to dominate the media, boosting Carney’s profile as the leader of the moment. New West is following the campaign and providing analysis that cuts through the noise.

Chaos in the U.S. plays to Carney’s advantage. The Liberals are gaining ground as Canadians seek stability amid Trump-era turbulence. The Conservatives remain competitive—but need a breakout week to shift the momentum.

While Canada avoided the worst-case scenario when the Trump administration’s “Liberation Day” didn’t levy new targeted tariffs against Canada, it wasn't a good week for global free trade. We go through the reaction from two of our country's most vocal Premiers and much more in our Weekly Roundup.

Week 2 of the campaign has seen the Liberals open up an early lead. Both parties seem to find themselves in a holding pattern, with voter intentions showing little change. The Conservatives have ground to make up while the Liberals' efficient vote distribution gives them a strong edge. However, with over three weeks until e-day, and plenty of candidate controversies emerging, there's still time for momentum to swing.

The Carney Liberals may have widened their lead, but the Conservatives could still turn the tide. With 4 weeks to go and tariffs on the horizon, the stakes are high. Will Trump’s decisions sway more support toward Carney's leadership? Or will Poilievre’s policy-focused approach break through?

Amidst a federal election campaign, provincial stories struggle to break through. Mark Carney's first call with President Trump marked a shift in Canada-U.S. relations, while Ontario and Alberta tackle looming tariffs and internal political dynamics. Read more on trade, legislation, and Canada’s shifting political landscape in our Weekly Roundup.